THE BASELINE.

Issue3
Sunday 09 August 2026
Five minutes, measured

THE NUMBER

425

billion (SAR)

Consumer spending in Saudi Arabia surged 6.8% year-on-year, reaching SR425 billion in the first quarter of 2026. This growth, which includes spending made through cards, cash, and e-commerce, occurred alongside a GDP increase of just 3% and an inflation rate of 1.8%. When adjusting for inflation, real consumption growth was nearly 5%, outpacing the economy's overall growth rate. (Arab News)

THREE SIGNALS

Lucid announced $1.4 billion in identified cost cut as H1 2026 losses widened 50% to $2.4 billion from $1.6 billion a year earlier. H1 production was 10,274 vehicles against a full-year target of 25,000–27,000. Shares fell 9% after the announcement.

The second half now needs to roughly double the first, and $1.4 billion in cuts does not close a $2.4 billion gap on its own, production is the real test here, not the balance sheet.

Osamah Alfadda

|
CEO

Aramco's World Cup sponsorship is expected to add $26.1 billion to the company's corporate value, about 43% of the $61 billion in total corporate value generated across all tournament sponsors, with brand value up roughly $1.08 billion and 2.3% growth, fourth among official sponsors

A leading oil company has proven its ability to drive brand growth through a football tournament, outpacing gains from its traditional extraction activities. This decisive shift highlights the evolving conversation around value and product, demonstrating that companies must adapt to stay relevant.

Abdulrahman Al Mottahar

|
Partner

THE MOVE

A five-year stake becomes a company

What happened:

A PIF-led consortium with Silver Lake and Affinity Partners completed its roughly $55bn take-private of Electronic Arts on 5 August, at $210 a share in cash. EA delisted from Nasdaq. PIF had already been a minority investor in Electronic Arts for over five years before this acquisition. (Arab News)

Why it matters:

EA's buyout raised about $45 billion in investor interest for roughly $15 billion in bonds, pricing better than expected in a rocky credit market. This shows that investors see gaming as a stable business with ongoing cash flow instead of just a risky bet. This change is important not only for this deal but also for a kingdom aiming for a gaming GDP of SR50 billion by 2030.

What we'd watch:

Andrew Wilson will continue as CEO, which keeps the leadership stable. However, EA's board will now report to a private group in Riyadh instead of following Nasdaq's quarterly schedule. For businesses selling in gaming or entertainment, this means longer and less visible sales cycles.

FROM THE FIELD

A client this week pointed to the 6.8% consumer spending figure as evidence that demand was accelerating. While this interpretation of the number as presented is valid, it overlooks inflation, which brings real growth closer to 5%. Although this is still a strong rate, it doesn't reflect the headline figure. We often notice clients budgeting based on a single year-on-year percentage. It's important to ask what factors have been excluded before making plans based on these numbers. The gap between nominal and real figures is rarely dramatic, but it's often the source of most budgeting errors.

We've been the client

We know what execution feels like.